@article {Maier2001779, title = {First-order reliability method for estimating reliability, vulnerability, and resilience}, journal = {Water Resources Research}, volume = {37}, number = {3}, year = {2001}, note = {cited By 64}, pages = {779-790}, doi = {10.1029/2000WR900329}, url = {https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-0034988129\&doi=10.1029\%2f2000WR900329\&partnerID=40\&md5=1fac95b762d00caf40850bdf33ebd3d1}, author = {Maier, H.R. and Lence, B.J. and Tolson, B.A. and Foschi, R.O.} }